Update 09-12-22 11h

 MULTIMODEL(E) MEANUIGE 3.0 (OP + ENS UKMO-ICON-GFS-ECMWF)     

 OBSERVATIONS & FORECAST OF THE THERMAL ANOMALY

-BELGIUM-

The thermal anomaly will generally drop to between -4 and -8° until around 18 December (cold or very weather for the season). Afterwards it will rise again between -4 and -1° .

L'anomalie thermique va baisser généralement entre -4 et -8° jusqu'aux environs du 18 décembre (temps froid à très froid pour la saison). Elle remontera ensuite entre -4 et -1° .

De thermische anomalie zal over het algemeen dalen tot tussen -4 en -8° tot ongeveer 18 december (koud tot zeer koud weer voor het seizoen). Nadien zal ze weer  stijgen tussen -4 en -1° .

Previous Update


NB: The MEANUIGE 3.0 system averages the parameters from the UKMO/ICON operational models for the short and medium term (+24h to +96h) and the parameters from the GEFS-ECMWF ensemble and operational models for the medium and long term (+120h to +344h)

Evolution of the mean temperature over a period >1 year compared to the normal (base 1981-2010)



Temperature + thermal anomaly forecast at 1500m (850hPa) over central Belgium (base 1981 - 2010)               

Ensembles GFS or ECMWF

Previous Update


EUROPE

Maps of Europe showing 5-day daily mean temperature anomalies forecast at 2m over Europe (base 1981 - 2010)

Up to 16 days / Source: GEFS/USA ensemble model


GLOBAL


Commentaires: luctrul@gmail.com
Editeur responsable: Luc Trullemans